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Master · 2000-2012 · left-handed

Johan Santana

A circle changeup widely called the best of its era, built entirely on looking exactly like the fastball.

Signature pitchCircle changeup

Santana’s 2000s peak ran on a circle changeup that scouts and hitters called the best of its era. Its deception came not from exotic movement but from identical arm action, release point, and effort, so hitters committed early and the ball arrived more than ten mph slower than they expected. He won the AL Cy Young unanimously in 2004 and 2006.

01The signature pitch

A circle changeup launched with arm action, release point, and effort indistinguishable from his low-90s fastball, so the two looked like twins until the change arrived late and slow with fade down and away from righties. By one pitch-value measure he is the career leader in changeup value since tracking began in 2002.

Study the circle changeup
The Circle changeup seam, oriented to its spin axis.

The circle changeup seam, our own schematic

02The mental edge

The whole design was disguise. The Twins sent him to Triple-A in 2002 specifically to force-feed the changeup, where a coach made him throw one to nearly every hitter until he trusted it completely. The reputation said a 15-to-20 mph gap; the 2007 tracking data put the real fastball-to-change gap near 10 mph, meaning the deception, not the separation, is what made it elite.

A real, sourced tension worth keeping: Bret Boone and scouting lore cite a 15-20 mph gap; PITCHf/x measured about 10 mph in 2007.

I was challenging myself and forcing myself to take command of that pitch.
Pitcher's own wordsSociety for American Baseball Research, Johan Santana (BioProject)

On developing the changeup at Triple-A Edmonton in 2002.

03The record
ERA (2004, unanimous Cy Young)
2.61

Led the majors; won the AL Cy Young unanimously.

Strikeouts (2004)
265
ERA (2006, unanimous Cy Young)
2.77
Fastball vs. changeup gap (2007 PITCHf/x)
about 10 mph (93.0 / 83.1)

Close to a normal MLB changeup separation, and well under the 15-20 mph the pitch was reputed to have.

Career changeup value (since 2002)
133.4 runs (the leader)

Filed the way every record here is: each figure season-stamped where it applies, confidence-labeled, and one click from its source. Where the reputation and the data disagree, the gap is shown, not smoothed over.